Matthew Coates

Research interests

I am broadly interested in epidemiological methods and causal inference in population health. A few areas of interest are:

Selected Papers

Complete set of publications: Google Scholar

Modeling potential population health impact of interventions and policies

  1. Coates MM, Sliwa K, Watkins DA, et al. (2021). An investment case for the prevention and management of rheumatic heart disease in the African Union 2021-30: a modelling study. Lancet Global Health, 9(7): E957-E966.

Non-communicable disease burden and risks in relation to national and/or household income/wealth

  1. Coates MM, Kintu A, Gupta N, et al. (2020). Burden of noncommunicable disease from infectious risks in 2017: a modelling study. Lancet Global Health, 8(12): E1489-E1498.

  2. Coates MM, Kamanda M, Kintu A et al. (2019). A comparison of all-cause and cause-specific mortality by household socioeconomic status across seven INDEPTH Network health and demographic surveillance systems in sub-Saharan Africa. Global Health Action, 12(1): 1608013.

  3. Bukhman G, Mocumbi AO, et al. including Coates MM. (2020). The Lancet NCDI Poverty Commission: bridging a gap in universal health coverage for the poorest billion. The Lancet, 396(10256), 991-1044.

  4. Coates MM, Ezzati M, Robles Aguilar G, et al. (2021). Burden of disease among the world’s poorest billion people: An expert-informed secondary analysis of the Global Burden of Disease estimates. PLoS ONE, 16(8): e0253073.

Health systems research on non-communicable diseases in countries with low availability of services

  1. Gupta N, Coates MM, Bekele A, et al. (2020). Low availability of equipment and medications for non-communicable diseases and injuries at public first-referral level hospitals in eight low-income countries. BMJ Open, 10: e038842.

  2. Matthews S, Coates MM, Bukhman A, et al. (2022). Health system capacity to manage diabetic ketoacidosis in nine low-income and lower-middle income countries: A cross-sectional analysis of nationally representative survey data. eClinicalMedicine, 55: 101759.

  3. Adler AJ, Drown L, Boudreaux C, Coates MM, Marx A, Akala O, Waqanivalu T, Xu H, & Bukhman G. (2023). Understanding integrated service delivery: a scoping review of models for noncommunicable disease and mental health interventions in low-and-middle income countries. BMC Health Services Research, 23(99).

  4. Haakenstad A, Coates M, Bukhman G, McConnell M, & Verguet S. (2022). Comparative health systems analysis of differences in the catastrophic health expenditure associated with non-communicable vs communicable diseases among adults in six countries. Health Policy and Planning, 37(9): 1107-1115.

  5. Boudreaux, C, Noble C, Coates MM, et al. (2020). Noncommunicable disease (NCD) strategic plans in low- and lower-middle income Sub-Saharan Africa: framing and policy response. Global Health Action, 13(1): 1805165.

Development of new health metrics or novel use of health metrics

  1. Johansson KA, Coates MM, Økland J-M, Tsuchiya A, Norheim OF, Haaland Ø. (2020). Health by disease categories. In Cookson, R, Griffin, S, Norheim, O and Culyer, A. Distributional Cost-Effectiveness Analysis: A Handbook of Equity-Informative Health Economic Evaluation. Oxford University Press.

  2. Johanssen KA, Økland J-M, Skaftun EK, Bukhman G, Norheim OF, Coates MM, Haaland Ø. (2020). Estimating health adjusted age at death (HAAD). PLOS ONE, 15(7): e0235955.

  3. Bui AL, Coates MM, Matthay EC. (2018). Years of life lost due to encounters with law enforcement in the USA, 2015-2016. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 72(8): 715-718.

All-cause mortality estimation for the Global Burden of Disease Study and counties in China

  1. Wang H, Liddell CA, Coates MM, et al. (2014). Global, regional, and national levels of neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality during 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. The Lancet, 384(9947):957-79.

  2. The Global Burden of Disease 2015 Child Mortality Collaborators including Coates MM. (2016). Global, regional, national and selected subnational levels of stillbirths, neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality during 1980-2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet, 388(10053): 1725-1774.

  3. Wang Y, Li X, Zhou M, et al., including Coates MM. (2016). Under-5 mortality in 2851 Chinese counties, 1996-2012: a subnational assessment of achieving MDG 4 goals in China. The Lancet, 387(10015): 273-283.

  4. Liang J, Li X, Kang C, et al. including Coates MM. (2018). Maternal mortality ratios in 2852 Chinese counties, 1996-2015, and achievement of Millennium Development Goal 5 in China: a subnational analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet, 393(10168): 241-252.

  1. GBD 2013 Risk Factors Collaborators, including Coates MM. (2015) Global, regional and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks in 188 countries 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. The Lancet, 386(10010): 2287-2323.

  2. GBD 2015 Risk Factors Collaborators, including Coates MM. (2016). Global, regional and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks in 195 countries, 1990-2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet, 388(10053): 1659-1724.

  3. Agardh E, Danielsson A-K, Ramstedt M, et al. including Coates MM. (2016). Alcohol-attributed disease burden in four Nordic countries: A comparison using the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries and Risk Factors 2013 study. Addiction, 111(10): 1806-13.

  4. Kellerborg K, Danielsson A-K, Allebeck P, Coates MM, and Agardh E. (2016). Alcohol attributed disease burden: How methodological advances in the GBD 2013 study have changed the estimates in Sweden. Scandinavian Journal of Public Health, 44(6): 604-610.

  5. Rabiee R, Agardh E, Coates MM, Allebeck P, Danielsson A-K. (2017). Alcohol-attributed disease burden and alcohol policies in the BRICS-countries during the years 1990-2013. J Global Health, 7(1): 010404.